レッツ　エンジョイ　イングリッシュ　18th

【invasion in Ukraine by Russia】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

Therefore, instead armed attack, the nations have tried to stop Russia with the way of the economic sanction, concretely stopping to import the resource which is produced abundantly in Russia like petroleum and the natural gas, and to export the cutting edge technology like semi conductor, freezing assets on individuals, companies and banks, and excluding banks in Russia from the international network.

Making Russia be hard to procure material and war expenditure and the economy in Russia be hard…

• 共感4

【invasion in Ukraine by Russia】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

…trying to continue the war for Russia.

The economic sanction has been serious damage to Russia, on the other hand, the nations which join in the economic sanction have had influenced over by the economic sanction, so they have suffered from that the electric bill is soaring and food shortage.

If stopping buying the energy resource from Russia, we have to purchase other energy from the Middle East. The more the nations which want the natural gas and the petroleum from the Middle East, the more…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

…the more the price on the petroleum and the natural gas goes up.

The petroleum and the natural gas are used for the thermal power generation, so the electric bill goes up in the nation which adopts the thermal power generation.

As Russia is the nation which produces lots of wheat like Ukraine, the wheat produced in Russia used to go on the market in the world before. Both of the nation of Russia and Ukraine covered no less than 30% of the wheat exported to the world in the past, so….

• 共感4

【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

…so without buying the wheat from Russia, we are forced to buy it from other nation, so the price on the wheat has risen up all over the world at present, in particular, at the north area in Africa which relies on the large amount of the wheat with the import from Russia lots of people have been in difficulty because the price on the bread is skyrocketing.

Moreover Ukraine is the nation which used to export the large amount of corn, but it can’t afford to export due to the war.

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

The corn is used for the feed to domestic animal like cow and pig, so the price on the feed for the domestic animal will go up all over the world from now on, at the same time the price on the beef and pork will also rise.

The food shortage seems to be serious on the side of fertilizer which is indispensable for growing vegetable and fruit. Three elements on the fertilizer is nitrogen, phosphoric acid, and potassium. Russia is the production area for the potassium as well. As to the…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

As to the nation which buys the potassium from Russia, being unable to get the potassium will have a serious damage on the growth over the agricultural product in the future.

As Japan has also joined in the economic sanction partly, accompanied with the weak yen beforehand, the price on the various things and service has gone up, and we’ve realized it everyday life.

The economic sanction to Russia has had a great influence over other nations. The people in some nations give a…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction? 》

The people in some nations gave a democracy and had a rally in rage, so the nations are unstable owing to the economic sanction.

The economic sanction has aimed at preventing Russia and the President Putin from invading Ukraine with the armed force, but it takes time to bear fruit, and the utility cost like the electric bill and the gas charge are high until it bears fruit in those nations, including Japan, but the author insists on like the next in the book.

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia】

《Is it possible to stop the war with the economic sanction?》

The international society should think it’s the cost to make Russia stop the war and is forced to put up with it. How much can leading nations hold it to keep in step?

Russia could have been influence over the economic sanction than any other nation, but Mr. Putin doesn’t seem to give up the war even if the people are poor to some extent. The ones who can stop the President in the nation are the people in the nation alone.

What position should we confront against the war? It will be decided by …

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

It will be decided by the people in Russia finally.

《Why is it hard to make the war finish?》

Breaking out the war is easy, on the other hand, stoping it is very hard. We can see it in our history in the past.

For example, the Korean War which broke out in 1950 was thought the military power in the North Korea occupied the Seoul with the lightning attack and the war was over earlier in the beginning, but as the United National Forces of which center was America supported the South Korea, so the war evolved into the hopeless mess, and the war…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war finish?》

…to make matters worse, the Koran war doesn’t come to an end until at present exactly. The cease-fire agreement was concluded in in 1953 and some seventy years have passed since then, and the situation on the cease-fire continues until now, so the Korean War has never come to an end at present.

The invasion in Afghanistan by the Soviet Union was the same situation in 1979. Soviet sent the military force to Afghanistan so as to support the government of pro Soviet then, but the influence of the Muslim…

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…but the influence of the Muslim Fundamentalist resisted against Russia severely, and America provided the military aid to the Muslim Fundamentalists, so the war continued endlessly for a decade, and the military force in Soviet was forced to withdraw.

The war made the national power in Russia drop and it started to cause the demise of regime in Russia then.

Likewise, the war between Russia and Ukraine won’t come to an end easily. There has been the serious damage both in Russia and Ukraine at present….

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…but the ability of going on the war in Russia has never been damaged still. As Russia which is the nation concerned the war is one of main oil producing countries, the price on the crude oil has skyrocketed, the effect on the economic sanctions by the nations in the west side has been weak.

It doesn’t seem there is some crack on the sovereignty of the President Putin. It is said some million of people whose center were young ones went away overseas so as to escape from being conscripted in the beginning…

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…but not a few people couldn’t continued to live in the place where they ran away and returned to Russia.

To make matters worse, Russia has made use of the nuclear power to the international society as threat. It’s showed the nuclear weapon doctrine in 2020, clarifying the concrete condition for using the atomic weapon then.

According to the nuclear weapon doctrine, when Russia is invaded and continuing existence on the nation becomes hard, even if it’s the attack by ordinary weapon, Russia will use…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…Russia will use the atomic weapon then.

Showing the nuclear power doctrine to the national society in public, Russia has good control over the nations supporting Ukraine including each nation in NATO, so the long range missile which is able to attack the main land in Russia isn’t included in the weapon offering to Ukraine. It took time even offering combat planes to Ukraine.

In short, no one can see the point of compromise on the war. If calling a ceasefire just now, it means that both of Russia and…

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the stop war?》

…it means that both of Russia and Ukraine lose in the war.

No less than 18% on the national land has been lost in Ukraine at present as of the end of June in 2023.

On the other hand, Russia has proclaimed four states in east and south area but can’t conquer them, it means Russia can’t defend its nation land.

Both of the countries are the past point of no return.

But if the war comes to an end, after the war continued some years, it’s the time when Ukraine of which national power is less than Russia….

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…it’s the time when Ukraine which is less than Russia with regard to the national power runs out of energy on account of the weapon shortage.

Even if its consumption is less than Russia, soldiers continued to die in the battle field, so Ukraine can’t sent soldiers any more in the future. If going to the battle field, it will be dead with high probability, so it is said evading military service by the people who don’t think they want to die has occurred.

Shell has already started to run out in Ukraine….

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…though America has supported at present, each nation which has offered weapons Ukraine until now like Hungary and Poland seem to be tired from supporting.

Some nations whose people can’t endure the high price on the fuel owing to the war will appear, so they may have decreased the support.

In short, when Ukraine expended its resource on the help from other nations, the war may have come to an end.

On the other hand, even if winning in the war, Russia has lost something big.

Finland and Sweden which….

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【invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

Finland and Sweden which had a strong sense of crisis against the invasion in Ukraine by Russia have joined in NATO in 2022. The President Putin has started the war so as to prevent the influence by NATO from increasing any more, but causes to strengthen the influence of the NATO ironically.

From now on, the more the war prolongs, the less influence over the East Europe by Russia becomes, and the sense of its existence in the international society will disappear soon.

Kim Jong-un who was the general…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

When Kim Jong un who was the general secretary in North Korea visited Russia September in 2023, Mr. Putin treated him with respect. It seems it has shown on the sense of isolation and frustration in Russia which is losing the place where it stands suddenly.

One Bell, One Road which is the huge economic concept prompted by China, and Putin visited China so as to be present at the international meeting and talked with the Chief State Xi Jinping 習近平 then.

Both of two leaders discussed various things like…

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【Invasion in Ukraine by Russia has prolonged】

《Why is it hard to make the war stop?》

…like including the relation between two of the nations, the situation on Ukraine, and other one on Palestine. After the talk, the President Putin said their common threat outside makes the exchange between Russia and China strengthen, appealing imitate relation between two of the countries, and restrains the movement on America.

Russia is forced to rely on North Korea and China alone at present.

【China which has aimed at the hegemony over the world, and other situation over Taiwan, North and South Korea,】

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【China has aimed at the the hegemony over the world…】

《China has announced the shocking new map and each nation has repulsed against it》

The Ministry of Natural Resource belonged to China has announced a new map August in 2023 and the repercussion has spread throughout each nation in Asia.

China has surrounded the Sea of South China with a broken line of 9段線 of its original recognition and insisted on the territorial right over the China Sea one sidedly.

The map on 2023 the 9段線 expanded outside and changed into 10段線. At the time of the 9段線, some areas which China disputed over the…

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《China has announced the shocking new map…》

…some areas which China disputed over the territorial right against other nations were included, but the 10段線 is a synonymous with the territorial right over almost all over the area of the South China Sea. The author was going to express on the 九段線 from now one.

It’s started from 1947 when the government of the National Party led by Zhou Enlai 周恩来 in the Republic of China drew eleven broken lines and surrounded the South China Sea, and insisted that the sea belonged to his nation.

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《China has announced the shocking map…》

The People’s Republic of China which was formed under government of the Communist Party led by Mao Zedong followed it.

But at first the 9段線 by China has been denied clearly at the judgement of the Arbitration Court in Hague of Holland in 2016. In short, there has never lawful ground on the insistence from China, but China has expanded it to 10段線, it’s so selfish.

But even if China has been repulsed from each nation in ASEAN, China has turned to a deaf ear to them at present.

Japan which has the…

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【China has aimed at hegemony over the world…】

《China has announced the shocking map…》

Japan which has the possibility of the emergency against Taiwan over the territorial right in Senkaku is the concerned nation, but the things which Japan can do against China which is the major power are limited, so strengthening the international alignment between Japan and other nations more than at present, and prevents China from doing hegemonic behaviors.

But as Japan and other nations in Asia are related with China economically strongly, so dealing with China will be hard in the future.

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【China has aimed at hegemony over the world….】

《Will China invade Taiwan in a military way?》

2024 is the year of the Presidential election in America, at the same time, it’s the year of the Presidential election in Taiwan accompanied with the retirement of Thai Ing-wen 蔡英文 because of the expiration of the term as President.

According to the public opinion in Taiwan as of at the end of November in 2023, the candidate from the ruling party took the lead, and the one from the biggest opposing one and other from the third one ran after Thai lng-wen.

As the vote to the opposing party seemed to…

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【China has aimed at hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in a military way?》

As the vote to the opposing party seemed to be split, the candidate of the ruling party will be advantageous, the rumor spread out among the people.

The anxiety of emergency over Taiwan has spread, who is the President in Taiwan? It will have the great influence over the relation between China and Taiwan greatly.

The leadership of Xi Jinping 習近平 who has aimed at the unification with Taiwan hoped the exchange of the government by the opposing party which take the reconciliation posture to China.

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【China has aimed at hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in a military way?》

What kind of existence is Taiwan? When watching the news on the Presidential election in Taiwan, there are some people who may have doubts.

Taiwan has called itself as the Republic of China, but China has never allowed it.

The Republic of China is the name of the nation which used to be in the Chinese Continent originally. The one which the military force in Japan fought against was the Republic of China.

After Japan was defeated in 1945, and withdrew from China, the civil war broke out in China.

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

The civil war broke out between the National Party which ruled over the Republic of China in the Chinese continent and the Communist Party which was opposed to the National Party.

Then the National Party was defeated and the people involved in the National Party fled from the continent to Taiwan and continued to identify itself as the Republic of China there after that.

On the other hand, the People’s Republic of China was formed by the Communist Party which won in the Civil War in the continent.

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

Thus two Chinas have learned to exist, the one is the Republic of China in Taiwan and the other is the People’s Republic of China in the continent, and both of two continued to insist on the representative from China each other then

After the World War Ⅱ, allied countries have formed the United Nations, China meant the Republic of China, but the People’s Republic of China ruled over the continent, so the UN allowed the People’s Republic of China in the continent as representative from China in 1971

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

Then the Republic of China withdrew from the UN.

After that each nation in the world including Japan has recognized the People’s Republic of China as the representative from China, and the Republic of China has learned to be called Taiwan often.

The National Party which fled from the Continent to Taiwan used to be the dictatorial party in the beginning in the past, but the democracy has went on, and except for the National Party, other political parties are allowed to be formed, and one of them…

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

…and one of them is the Democratic Progressive Party.

The involved people on the National Party are descendant from the ones who used to live in the continent of China originally, so they have learned to have the policy that China was the single one, and they should make friend with the People’s Republic of China.

On the other than, lots of the involved people on the Democratic Progressive Party are descendant who were born and brought up in Taiwan, so they thought they were the ones from Taiwan.

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world….】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

At the same time they don’t think they wanted to be together with the People’s Republic of China in the continent.

At the time of Ma-Ying-Jeou 馬英九 who was the sixth President of the National Party, the government in Taiwan approached the continent of China actively and the trade between China and Taiwan was done so much.

Taiwan would be overwhelmed by China if it went on, the people who had the sense of crisis increased then, so the 7th President was elected from the Democratic Progressive party.

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【China has aimed at the hegemony over the world….】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

If being opposed against China completely, the economy isn’t formed at all, so the government in Taiwan by the Democratic Progressive Party showed the concession to China to some extent, on the other hand, China has been particular about the single China, and taken varied countermeasure against Taiwan.

The Chief in the state has been exchanged with every second term in China in the past, but Xi Jinping 習近平 has been in the third term at present exceptionally, saying China won’t hesitate to use of…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《Will China invade Taiwan in military way?》

…saying China doesn’t hesitate to use the force so as to unify Taiwan, showing stronger willingness.

Even Mao Zedong who is the father of building China couldn’t do the unification in Taiwan, it’s the burning desire for China, so Xi Jinping seems to want to accomplish it with his own hands.

America continues to support the democracy in Taiwan and analyzed China has gone ahead the initiative of putting the system of the military force in order so as to take on the intervention by America in emergency.

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【China has tried hegemony over the world…】

China seems to accomplish it by 2027, according to the annual report by America.

Which is the candidate from the ruling party of the Democratic Progressive Party of which independent thought is strong and the leadership led with Xi looks on as enemy or the one from the opposing party of the National Party which has a conciliatory attitude to China?

The result on the Presidential election will have great influence over the situation in Taiwan in the future.

The candidate from the ruling party has been elected as the President in Taiwan.

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The bubble collapsed by the real estate has made China Japaneseize》

When being in the third period and the leadership led by Xi Jinping which doesn’t try to conceal its ambition on the territory, the headwind starts to blow against the economy in China.

As to the nation from which America imports, the amount of import from China to America decreased more than 20% from January to June in 2023, comparing it with in 2022, falling from the top and is in the third place after Mexico and Canada. Why?

The confrontation between America and China…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by the real estate makes China Japaneseize》

The confrontation between America and China has been so severe that America has increased the supply from friendly nation and decreased dependence on China, especially as to the semi conductor which America regards it as important material, its reorganization of supply chain has moved on, it seems that its influence is big.

On the other hand, China has taken into action on the regulation for export with rare metal and rare earth element. The rare metal is material…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by the real estate makes China Japaneseize》

The rare metal is used for the material on semi conductor, and the rare earth element is the motor on a electric vehicle.

As the guarantee of security has been regarded as important, there is the possibility that the trade between America and China has tendency to reduce in the future as well. If the economic activity in China which is the second place in the world with regard to GDP remains stagnant, its influence will spread over the world.

The indication on…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

The indication in the change on the economy of China has already appeared everywhere.

The National statistic bureau in China announced it will stop the official announcement on the unemployment rate for the young people whose age from 16 to 24 for a while temporarily August in 2023

After the corona virus pandemic, the unemployment rate on the young people rose with the economic slowdown in China, and reached to no less than 21.3% in third straight months June. It’s…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

It’s the worst record in China.

As to the stop on the public announcement on the statistical data for a moment temporarily, the statistic bureau in China says the economy in the society always changes and develops, so the statistical bureau researching labor needs the improvement still more.

In short, it doesn’t think it wants to make the people know a job shortage on the young people or economic downturn in China. It’s actual situation.

The bubble on the real….

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

The bubble economy on the real estate has collapsed in China at present, and major real estate companies fall into the management crisis one after another.

中国恒大集団 which is the major real estate company belonged to China was in the throes of the corporation rehabilitation requested the court of federation in New York apply the law on the bankruptcy. The law protects the capital on companies in America except for the companies which has the nationality on America.

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

The law prevents the capital from being confiscated which is done by force, and it is said the 中国恒大集団 had debt of which amount was three hundred thirty billion dollars as of then, it was forty eight trillion yen in Japan.

It’s started in 1996 from a small company of which employees are a few and has grown rapidly with the real estate boom, expanding a wide range of business like including the real estate, production on electric vehicle, food and drink and management…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world….】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by the real estate makes China Japaneseize》

…and the management of professional soccer team.

The area on selling the real estate was second place in China in 2020 and its sales was eight trillion six hundred billion yen in Japan then, but the loan swelled with the expansion of business, and it made matters worse, the stagnate on sales of housing continued and struggled with financing, so it has been feared its default from 2021.

Moreover it’s the financial trouble on 碧桂園 which is paid attention. It’s also…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

It’s the major estate company like the 中国恒大社. Its payment on interest for dollar dominated bond has been late for, and it seems to confront on the crisis of default as of October in 2023.

The project which 碧桂園 deals with in China is four times as much as the 中国恒大社, it’s a lot overwhelmingly, and its overall debt seems to be 27 trillion yen as of the end of June in 2023, and there have been lots of projects which were given up under construction one after another.

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

There have been lots of groups of high rising building which were given up under construction and the groups of high building look as if they had been ghost towns.

If the major company on the real estate goes bankrupt, lots of financial institution will end up having bad debt and causes a serious damage on the economy in China then. Its influence isn’t over only in China alone but all over the world, and it could have caused the financial crisis.

How will the business…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

How will business failure on the major company dealing with real estate have the economy in China or in the world? We can’t see a long way ahead of us, but if the government in China relieves the company which is in economic crisis, the dissatisfaction from the people will explode, the government helps the wealthy people!

So the government in China is forced to take the lead which is difficult one, but it has never started active idea on supporting when confronting on…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《The collapse on the bubble economy by real estate makes China Japaneseize》

…but it has never started any active assistant measures in regard to the financial crisis on the major company dealing with real estate at present, for Xi Jinping has put up the policy of 共同富裕 which means to be rich together.

In a way of thinking on the 共同富裕, the people who making money with investing to real estate is out of question.

It seems that he’s thought like the next. Private companies which make money with real estate should leave their own situation to…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

Private companies which make money with real estate should leave their own situation to themselves which go bankrupt, but want to give a preferential treatment to national companies.

The authority in China has held the founder on the 中国恒大集団 and saying it took enforcement measure being based on the law with the suspicion involving with illegal crime.

《Cramming school is prohibited, and private teacher who dress up as delivery man who delivers tapioca is rampant》

The author said he was going to express on the 共同富裕. It’s the 共同富裕 which was the…

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【China has tried to hegemony over the world…】

《A cramming school is forbidden…》

It’s the 共同富裕 which was the slogan for Mao Zedong who built the People’s Republic of China. It means let’s rich together equally all of us literally.

But when giving a priority so as to eliminate poverty and gap among the people, the people who thought even if doing best, the result is the same, so it would never be rewarded increased, the productivity on the work didn’t rise, so China became poor.

So Den Xiaoping who was the top leader after Mao Zedong started the way of thinking, 先富論. The one who becomes…

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【China has tried the hegemony over the world…】

《A cramming school is forbidden…》

The one who can become rich in advance can do, for the wealth will spread all over the people soon.

But while there are the ones who became rich astoundingly, the ones who didn’t become wealthy, so the gap among the people has expanded, so the dissatisfaction appeared from the people who couldn’t become rich.

So Xi Jinping who is the top leader after Deng Xiaoping has put up the 共同富裕. Children learned to go to the cramming school nowadays in China, and Xi paid attention to it.

China has by far more…

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